Midday looks deceptively pleasant — Geneva is sitting at 73°, Ithaca at 76°, and the region is largely clear and comfortable with a light southerly breeze. Enjoy the next several hours. The window narrows considerably after sunset.
An abnormally strong surface low tracking out of the Midwest will push a warm front through the region tonight, bringing showers that could turn heavy at times as increasing moisture and a low-level jet organize the rainfall. The NWS Buffalo office flagged gusty winds as a concern through Thursday, and those gusts are likely to be more significant than a typical June system. Showers continue into Thursday morning in the warm sector, with the cold front clearing through mid-morning to early afternoon — though the exact timing still has some wiggle room depending on how the surface low tracks. No alerts are active right now, but conditions change tonight. Get outdoor plans wrapped up well before 9 PM. Once the front clears Thursday, the region settles into a quieter, slightly cooler stretch — highs in the low 70s Friday through the weekend before another chance of drizzle arrives Sunday.
Weather Center forecast for the Finger Lakes region. Sourced from NWS, Open-Meteo, NWS Area Forecast Discussion, and USGS stream-flow data. Updated 6 AM, noon, and 6 PM ET.